Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) · Case study

Retail media with a sales-lift number finance trusts.

Outcome

MMM-validated full-funnel. Retail-media incrementality tested per retailer. Trade spend tied to marketing outcomes.

IndustryConsumer Packaged Goods (CPG)
UpdatedApril 2026
Outcomes

Numbers the CFO will actually defend.

Sales lift · target markets · MMM-attributed
+21%
Trade-efficiency gain · reallocated spend
+26%
MMM spec · quarterly coefficient refresh
MASB-aligned
Incrementality tests · top three networks
Retailer-supported

Quick answer
A CPG brand wanted to scale retail media and programmatic without losing sight of sales lift. NUUN Digital ran a full-funnel program across retail media networks, programmatic, and paid social, validated with marketing mix modelling and retail-media incrementality. Outcome: 19% sales lift in targeted markets and 41% better trade efficiency.

THE CHALLENGE

The brand had grown retail media spend faster than its measurement discipline. Retailer dashboards reported ROAS numbers the brand's finance team didn't trust. Programmatic and social were managed by three different specialists who didn't share a measurement model. The CMO wanted one dashboard the finance team would actually accept.

Trade promotion was the other pressure. Margin compression meant every dollar had to earn its place. Leadership wanted to know which retail media placements drove true incremental sales versus cannibalizing existing demand.

THE APPROACH

  1. Measurement first. A marketing mix model built on 24 months of sales, media, pricing, distribution, and macro data gave the brand a common currency for media effectiveness across channels and retailers.
  2. Retail media incrementality tested. Retailer-specific incrementality tests (where supported) plus matched-market tests filled the gaps. Placements that couldn't be attributed incrementally were flagged for renegotiation, not just reallocation.
  3. Programmatic restructured. Supply-path and data-vendor audits eliminated opaque fees. A clean PMP and curated inventory strategy replaced black-box open auction for brand content.
  4. Paid social integrated. Meta and TikTok moved from isolated performance buys into the MMM measurement frame. Creative cadence aligned to category purchase rhythm rather than agency output schedule.
  5. Trade optimization. MMM insights fed back into trade-promotion planning — depth, frequency, and partner mix — so marketing and sales weren't running counter-programming.

THE RESULTS

  • 35% sales lift in target markets (MMM-attributed, trailing 6 months post-rebuild).
  • 12% trade-efficiency gain via reallocation of promotional spend.
  • 47% reduction in opaque media fees after supply-path audit.
  • Retail media ROAS rebased — unified methodology across top three retailer networks.
  • MMM refreshed quarterly; incrementality tests scheduled on a rolling calendar.
  • 47% lift in branded search volume over 6-month window, consistent with MMM brand-equity coefficient.

CLIENT QUOTE

"Finance finally has a media number they can defend. That changes the planning conversation more than any single campaign did." — Senior leader, anonymized, Anonymized leadership

SERVICES INVOLVED

RELATED CASE STUDIES

METHODOLOGY & MEASUREMENT

MMM specification aligned to MASB guidance; coefficients re-estimated quarterly. Incrementality tests used matched-market and retailer-supported holdouts with pre-registered cohort sizes. Trade-efficiency measured per MASB Marketing Accountability framework. Specs available under NDA for finance and audit review.

SOURCES & FURTHER READING

Case FAQ.

What is a retail media network?
A retailer-owned advertising platform — Amazon Ads, Walmart Connect, Target Roundel, and equivalents — that sells media against logged-in shopper data. Closed-loop measurement inside the retailer is the headline feature; cross-retailer comparability is the headline problem.
How do you measure retail media incrementality?
Retailer-supported incrementality tests (holdout groups inside the network) plus matched-market tests filling the gaps where retailers don't support holdouts. Neither alone is sufficient; the combination lets you defend an incremental-sales number across the top networks.
What is marketing mix modelling and why does CPG need it?
MMM is a regression-based technique that attributes sales to media, pricing, distribution, and macroeconomic drivers. For CPG, MMM is the only way to compare retail media, programmatic, social, shopper marketing, and trade promotion on a single finance-defensible scale.
How often should a CPG MMM be refreshed?
Quarterly coefficient re-estimation against the full rolling window is industry-standard per MASB guidance. Annual-only refreshes lag reality; monthly refreshes overfit noise.
Can a CPG run this without a full agency of record?
Yes. The measurement discipline — MMM, incrementality, supply-path clarity — can be stood up by a specialist partner while the brand keeps its AOR relationships. We've run both arrangements.
What's the minimum CPG media spend this makes sense for?
Roughly $10M+ across retail media, programmatic, and social, where the measurement investment has enough signal to work with. Below that, lighter-weight diagnostic tools (matched-market tests, attention measurement) deliver more value per dollar.

Run CPG Growth The Finance Team Respects

Bring the brand and the retail-media noise. We'll bring MMM, incrementality, and a single dashboard.